Daily Briefing -182

Cuomo Executive Order Amends Traveler Quarantine Restriction Policy – Allows Travelers to “Test Out” 

The Executive Order directs the Commissioner of the Department of Health to modify the travel advisory. The modified Travel Advisory is effective at 12:01 a.m. on November 4, 2020, until rescinded by the Commissioner.  Any violation of a quarantine or isolation order issued to an individual pursuant may be subject to a civil penalty of up to $10,000. 

The Travel Advisory now states that all travelers entering New York from a state which is not a contiguous state shall quarantine for a period of 14 days consistent with Department of Health regulations for quarantine unless:

LESS THAN 24 HOURS –  For travelers who travel outside of New York for less than 24 hours, the traveler does not need to test prior to departure from the state, and does not need to quarantine upon arrival back in New York. However, such travelers must continue to fill out the traveler form upon entry; and shall take a diagnostic test upon the fourth day after arrival in New York.

MORE THAN 24 HOURS – For any traveler who has traveled outside of New York for more than 24 hours, such traveler must seek testing prior to departure from that state, within 72 hours of departure, and prior to arrival in New York. The traveler must, upon arrival in New York, quarantine according to Department of Health guidelines for a minimum of three days, measured from time of arrival, and on day four may seek a diagnostic test to exit quarantine. The traveler may exit quarantine upon receipt of the second negative test result.

ESSENTIAL WORKERS – The Commissioner may issue additional protocols for essential workers, or for other extraordinary circumstances, when a quarantine is not possible, provided such measures continue to safeguard the public health. 

Read the press release

COVID and Cluster Update – New Record High Number of COVID-19 Tests Reported

Governor Cuomo held a briefing by phone call Sunday detailing New York’s COVID-19 tracking data from Saturday October 31st.  Tracking data for the hotspots and the rest of the State are below.  

  • 20 hotspot zip codes: 3.10%
  • Orange Orange Zone: 3.75%
  • Rockland Hot Zone: 4.20%
  • Statewide: 1.5%
  • Statewide excluding hotspots: 1.3%
  • Statewide hospitalizations: 1,125 (259 in ICU) 

Here are some useful websites:

Tomorrow is “Last Day to Vote Day”  Here Are The Latest Polls for President and Senate Control

With early voting taking place across the country and expanded vote by mail opportunities the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November is more like the last day to vote than election day. Here are the latest public opinion polls from and Real Clear Politics. 

Dems Battle Seek Supermajority in New York State

Democrats in the State Senate currently hold the largest majority in over a century, with 40 out of 63 members. In 2018, Democrats took control of the Senate for the first time in more than 100 years. Now they are poised to potentially gain even more control, being only two seats away from a supermajority.  

A state Senate supermajority for Democrats would certainly change the political landscape of Albany allowing the Legislature to override any vetoes issued by Governor Andrew Cuomo. Democrats already dominate the State Assembly by a 2-1 ratio, and hold the power to override a veto as it is.   Key races this year are in Western New York, Long Island and the Hudson Valley. 

Read more and watch the video at Spectrum News 

Redfin.Com: Users Leaving Expensive States Picks Up With Pandemic

California and New York had the biggest upticks in people looking to move out of state since last year, followed by Massachusetts, Washington, D.C., and Illinois, according to a new report from Redfin (www.redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

Nearly 53,000 more Redfin.com users looked to move out of California than into it in the third quarter, a 62% increase since the third quarter of 2019 and the highest rate since Redfin started tracking migration in the beginning of 2017. In New York, almost 47,000 more Redfin.com users looked to leave the state than move in during the third quarter, roughly 35% more than the 35,000 home searchers looking to leave during the same time period last year.

Read more at the Daily Record (WA)

CDC’s Expanded “Close Contact” Rule Problematic for Employers

The revised definition of close contact issued by CDC on Oct. 21 now applies to “someone who was within six feet of an infected person for a cumulative total of 15 minutes or more over a 24-hour period starting from two days before illness onset (or, for asymptomatic patients, two days prior to test specimen collection) until the time the patient is isolated.”  

“This deceptively subtle change could have a significant impact on how businesses identify who has been exposed to COVID-19 and who, therefore, should quarantine for 14 days,” say attorneys for the law firm of Morgan Lewis & Bockius. “Indeed, after someone in the workplace tests positive, substantially more employees will likely be identified as close contacts and required to quarantine under the CDC’s updated guidance.”

Read more at EHS Today

U.S. Household Spending Rose 1.4% in September

The Commerce Department said personal-consumption expenditures—a measure of household spending on goods and services—rose 1.4% last month. Consumers have increased spending since the summer, although the pace of gains slowed into early fall. Consumers last month doled out more on autos, clothing and footwear, continuing a trend of robust outlays on goods due to pent-up demand from pandemic-related economic disruptions.

Personal income—a measure of what households receive from wages and salaries, government aid and investments—was up 0.9% last month, after a sharp decline in August, rising on higher pay and remaining pandemic-related aid. 

Read more in the WSJ

DiNapoli: Local Sales Tax Collections in NYS Down for Third Quarter 2020

Sales tax revenue for local governments in New York state dropped 9.5 percent in the third quarter compared to the same period last year, according to State Comptroller Thomas P. DiNapoli. Sales tax collections from July to September totaled $4.3 billion, or $452 million less than last year.

Read the Controller’s report

Ford Reports Strong Third Quarter as Demand for Trucks and SUVs Picks Up Again

Ford Motor Co. made $2.4 billion in net income during the third quarter of 2020 and revised its full-year outlook to reflect an overall profit as demand for SUVs and pickup trucks advanced faster than expected.

The Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker recorded total revenue of $37.5 billion for the quarter on a net income margin of 6.4%. The company ended the quarter with nearly $30 billion in cash and more than $45 billion in liquidity after fully repaying $15 billion in revolving credit loans. Updated guidance for the fourth quarter anticipate earnings between break-even and a loss of $500 million.

Read more in IndustryWeek

The Pandemic May be Leading to Fewer Babies in Rich Countries

It is too early, by a few months at least, to be sure what the effect of covid-19 will be on fertility rates. But different patterns seem to be emerging in rich and poor countries. In the rich world many are holding off starting a family or adding to it. But in the poorest places a baby boom may be in the offing. Governments are already trying to adapt. It is not just Singapore trying to boost birth rates. Japan’s new prime minister, Suga Yoshihide, last week called for health insurance to cover in vitro fertility treatment. 

The big question is how long-lasting the impact on birth rates will be. History suggests the decline in birth rates could be rapidly reversed. 

Read more in The Economist